Topics in Economics, ESCP, 2023-2024
2024-02-26
Economic consensus: agents respond to incentives
Two versions:
Fully Rational / Limited Rationality / Rational Inattention
Behavioural World: systematic deviations from rationality
For rational agents:
Should work well for rational agents: especially firms…
Fabre and Douenne(2022): why do french people reject carbon tax?
Fabre and Douenne(2022): what would make french people accept a tax and dividend solution?
Behavioural agents (with any kind of behavioural bias) also respond to incentives
But their biases can also be affected by other means.
Behavioural agents (with any kind of behavioural bias) also respond to incentives
But their biases can also be affected by other means.
Nudge (economic definition)
A nudge is defined as a change in the decision environment that influcences people’s behavior without prohibiting any choices or significantly changing the economic incentives
from Thaler and Sunstein, 2009
Originally, the role of nudges was to counteract poor choices made by individuals, in areas such as personal savings and health
Traditional Nudge: improve welfare of agents: a behavioral solution to a behavioral problem.
Green nudge: influence people’s behavior, through changes in the choice architecture, in order to reduce negative externalities: a behavioral solution to a traditional economic problem.
Cognitive nudges
Correct for bounded rationality, inattention of self-control. Make it easier to “do the smart thing”.
For instance, help individuals with self-control problems, present-bias….
Example: put healthy food at the top of a restaurant menu.
It does does not assume that individuals make poor choices for themselves because of bounded rationality. But it works because individuals have cognitive or self control limitations.
Moral Nudges
A moral nudge draws on people’s social preferences, their desire for status, to follow norms or to have a positive self-image. The nudge rewards “doing the right thing” by providing the individual with moral (dis)utility.
Example: bounded rationality or self-control could lead an individual defaulted into a green tariff to stick with the new socially desirable default.
\[\max_{s.t. h(x)\leq0} U(x)\]
Cognitive Nudge: help agent solve optimization
Moral Nudge: affects agents preferences
Nudge Type | Example |
---|---|
Defaults | If I manage to summarize that in a few words, will that fit? |
Simplification of information and salience | |
Changes in physical environment | |
Reminders | |
Social comparison | |
Normative appeal and peer pressure | |
Commitment and goal Setting |
Default Browser
The default effect refers to the tendency of people to stick with an alternative already chosen by someone else, even when the cost of making an active choice is very small.
Default Browser
Why does it work?
Result:
Change the default temperature on thermostat for OECD employees from the standard 20 °C to a lower default.
Result:
Decision makers are innatentive to certain informations and make therefore suboptimal decisions.
Example: consumers ignore fuel and electricity costs when buying cars or lightbulbs.
Note that this can correspond to:
Label: lifetime energy costs
Is it really a nudge ? Or just release of information?
In Tiefenbeck et al. (2016), real-time feedback on energy use, in the shower, was given in the form of an animation of a polar bear standing on melting ice.
-> reduced the average shower time by 22 percent
The design of the physical can nudge people to the preferable behaviour, or give clues on appropriate conduct.
The topic is under-studied despite some famous examples.
Kallbekken and Saelen (2013): in a buffet restaurant, 50% smaller plates led to a reduction of around 20% of food consumption.
A reminder increases attention to a decision and reduces forgetfulness.
Can have unexpected effects:
Reminders of participation in voluntary land conservation programs
-> Increase participation rate
Wallander, Ferraro and Higgins (2017)
After receiving an electricity bill households reduce consumption by 0.6% to 1%.
Gilbert and Zivin (2014)
(A way to reduce peak demand?)
In behavioural economics we posit that social informations (information about others) impact individual’s behaviour.
Social information can be classified between:
How are they different?
Consumption Dashboard
At UCLA students don’t pay for energy bills.
How to reduce water and electricity consumption with a cusom dashboard for each room?
Provide feedback to users with:
Authors found that only a combination of private and public information had an effect on energy use (a 20 percent reduction).
Effect persists after the end of the treatment
Some social behavior, does not require any direct comparison.
Moral suasion / moral pleas are used to nudge behavior.
Effects seem uncertain and do not last
Send message to consumers: Substantial energy conservation will be required for the society during critical peak-demand hours in summer and winter.
Compare with economic incentives (dynamic pricing)
Outcome:
Several strands of behavioural economics postulate the existence of several selves (with different goals/preferences) and discuss some kind of self control.
The time inconsistency between today’s self and tomorrow’s self leads to commitment issues
The inconsistency between one’s self-image and actual behaviour leads to cognitive dissonance.
Northern Illinois goal-setting program, aimed at reducing residential electricity consumption:
Results:
Loock, Staake, and Thiesse (2013)
Another field experiment with electricity customers:
Results:
Hotel guests can commit to act more sustainably in exchange for a pin
Result:
Cognitive dissonance: conflicting objectives decisions by different active selves.
It can counter the effect of many nudges.
Two field studies were conducted at a US academic institution (MIT), where people selected what to eat via event registration forms.
A random group saw “vegan” or “vegetarian” labels in the titles of one of the two items.
Results:
Interpretation?
Nudging as an Environmental Policy Instrument by Carlsson, Gravert, Johansson- Stenman, and Kurz, 2019, reviews many studies:
Same results in Green nudges: Do they work? Are they ethical?
What do you think?
Ultimately, well-functioning government and market, are supposed to reflect people preferences.
Traditional economists do not mess up with preferences:
But some market failures are just unsolvable (like the tragedy of the horizon)
Should policy makers change people preferences?
💦 Mattauch, Stern1 and Konc (2022) The economics of climate change with endogenous preferences
Very far from a consensual position. Would you want the CB or the Gvt choose preferences for you?
The economics of well-being show that people are very resilient:
A new topic in behavioural science: motivated beliefs
So what are the options for the change?
Whether or not government and markets reflect well people’s preferences, for efficient measures to be accepted, preferences need to change.
I believe that, individually, people will ultimately adjust their beliefs and preferences to make the ecological transition less painful.
Which will increase social acceptance of government measures and market reforms.
Can nudging be an efficient tool to steer motivated beliefs in the right direction?
❓ Any data?
Social Comparisons and Social Preferences
We have seen that individuals exhibit other-regarding preferences
In econ, there are several associated concepts/theories: